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junhoThe Ins and Outs of Game|volatility and variance
Understanding Game Volatility and Variance is crucial for any serious gambler or casino fan. These two terms are often used incorrectly, but they refer to different aspects of a game. In this article, we will delve into the world of game risk and reward, and provide you with a comprehensive guide to help you make informed decisions at the table.
First and foremost, let's start with understanding what volatility is. Volatility in the context of games refers to the frequency and size of wins and losses. A game with high uncertainty will pay out large sums of money rarely, while a game with low uncertainty will pay out smaller sums of money more often. In other words, if you're playing a high-volatility game, you might win big sometimes, but you'll also lose big at other times. On the other hand, if you're playing a low-uncertainty game, you can expect smaller, more consistent returns.

Now, let's move on to variance. Uncertainty is the other side of the coin refers to the unreliability of a game's outcomes. A game with high uncertainty will produce large swings in your bankroll, whether it's due to a single big victory or a series of losses. This can make it difficult for players to manage their bankrolls and set realistic expectations.
The relationship between uncertainty and unpredictability is quite straightforward: high-volatility games tend to have higher uncertainty as well. This is because high-volatility games are designed to produce large payouts, which comes with a lot of risk. However, it's essential to remember that uncertainty and unpredictability are not the same thing. A game can have high uncertainty but low variance, or vice versa.
For example, consider a game with a high volatility and low uncertainty. While the machine may not pay out as frequently, the payouts will still be relatively consistent, and you can expect to win around 90% of the time. On the other hand, a high-unpredictable game may pay out infrequently, but when it does, the payouts can be life-changing.
So, how can you use this knowledge to your advantage? Here are a few tips to keep in mind:
- Set realistic expectations: If you're playing a high-volatility game, don't expect to win big every time. You should be prepared for the possibility of losing big as well.
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